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Q: Now the war has started...are you getting out?

Iran ...China's major Allie has started attacking the USA in Iraq... is it time to gp before the USA wipes parts of Iran off the face of the earth and China needs to find fuel somewhere else?

29 weeks 6 days ago in  Health & Safety - China

 
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Bumped

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29 weeks 6 days ago
 
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No US casualties so far. 

I'm fine to stay. 

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29 weeks 5 days ago
 
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The war has started over in Persia, and you're getting out of where? China? I really see your logic, mate.

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29 weeks 5 days ago
 
Posts: 17095

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''Modus Operandi'' and Sicilian proverb ''Revenge is dish/meal the best served cold'', i.e. "We aren't done yet ..."

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/almost-inconceivable-attacks-iraq...

 

"Almost Inconceivable" That Attacks In Iraq Will Mark End Of Iranian Retaliation, Experts Say 

Following a message from President Trump claiming "all is well", and another comment from Iranian Foreign Minister Javid Zarif claiming that Iran had "concluded" its reprisals for the killing of General Suleimani, markets have latched on to the belief that perhaps Iran is finished with its retaliation, while Trump appears to have found the "off ramp" that he was looking for.

But traders aren't the only ones betting on peace: Following the events of last night, journalists and regular people on the street have apparently started to realize that this isn't the beginning of WWIII after all. 

But according to several analysts and Iran experts, anybody who thinks this is the end of it is being tragically naive.

  

Let's start with one of the most well-known journalists in the US, Iranian-American Yashar Ali, who delivered the following tweet thread warning the US that, if history is any guide, Iran's true reprisal will come in the form of a terror attack on civilians, likely carried out via proxies.

 

1. I want to express this carefully cause I don't want to minimize anything that results in loss of life. But missiles flying back/forth in Mid East is all too common (something US can handle) & not what makes me nervous about the Soleimani situation

Here's what makes me nervous https://twitter.com/DanLamothe/status/1214684989952077824 …

2. What makes me nervous is illustrated in the WSJ story. The Iranian government has always operated on its own timeline. If you think Iran lobbing missiles over the border is the kind of revenge they ultimately have in mind, you're wrong. https://on.wsj.com/2QYlSMP

 

3. Example: In 2012, assassins kill an Iranian nuclear chemist (likely directed by Israel). Iran promises revenge.

Where does the ultimate revenge take place?

A month later in Georgia, India and Thailand where Israeli diplomats are targeted with bombshttps://on.wsj.com/2QYlSMP

4. Example: In 1992, IDF killed the Sec General of Hezbollah

Where did Iran retaliate?

In Buenos Aires with a truck bomb driven into the Israeli embassy. That attack killed 29 people

Another attack two years later took place at the Jewish Community Center killing 85 people

5. Those examples are pretty tight timelines for Iranians. The Iranian gov sees revenge as almost a generational thing...their timeline can be in months/years. Revenge always doesn't come via a show of force they take PUBLIC credit for.

6. So what I'm saying is all these people with their chest thumping, I would be cautious about what you see as Iranian revenge and unfortunately prepare yourselves for the kind of attacks that are unexpected, that don't follow a tight timeline, and show up where you least expect.

7. If people think that this is it...that Iran has chosen to retaliate against the US for killing the second most powerful man in Iran, by lobbing some missiles across the border that didn't result in US casualties then I have a bridge to sell you

https://twitter.com/KattyKay_/status/1214726523103657984 

8. I can't believe I'm seeing people saying that this was a face saving move by Iran and now that there haven't been any US casualties, that we should move on.

The level of naivety is astonishing.

Do people really think this is how Iran is going to retaliate?

 

9. Read Jake’s tweet...for those of you thinking this is just a weak response from Iran & that they’re terrified of the US mil, ask yourself if this how a nation that has funded attacks globally would respond to the killing of its most important General https:twitter.com/jaketapper/sta

 

10. That may very well be true, but if people think this is the only way Iranians will respond then they’re unaware of the reality. So while POTUS is taking the off ramp, the Iranians will sit and wait and do what they want and when they want to do it.

 

11. The problem is so many people have thought about this situation through the lens of conventional warfare. So they believe if there is no conventional warfare that the situation has deescalated.

But conventional warfare should have never been the concern!

 

Indeed, CNBC adds that blowback from Iran could continue for years, and could come in the form of covert diplomatic action, cyberterrorism or even a more conventional attack.

If President Trump is suitably respectful during his expected address to the nation on Wednesday, then Iran might deliver another "overt response" in the coming days. Jarrett Blanc, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, warned of such a response in an interview with CNBC.

But if Trump gloats about how the US killed one of their top generals, and all they did was blow up a bunch of rockets in the desert, then it's possible that a furious Tehran could ratchet up the conventional weapons response.

Blanc said: "If he gloats that, you know, we’ve killed a top Iranian general and all they’ve done is hit the desert, he greatly increases the chances that there will be a further, overt response from Iran and again, increase the chance of a rapid escalation toward a really large scale conflict in the region."

more ...

tus/1214740700711051266?s=21 

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29 weeks 5 days ago
 
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I can see many financial analysts here.

All I can say is China is no best mate to nobody, except economic tradeship. No difference to any western countries (actually any modern country, how about that).

 

If you're worried about getting out of China, you're probably doing something CIA-ish? But for that, you probably won't have this much time to post to E-tities.

 

I think here is safe. Just work your daily job, drink coffee, everything is fine! ^_^

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29 weeks 4 days ago
 
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